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US bank failure by June 30?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$475 Vol.
Monthly
Brazil Presidential Election
16%
chance
Yes
No
$17 Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$14 Vol.
Will the BJP-led NDA retain power in the 2027 Indian General Elections?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Will Narendra Modi (BJP) win the 2029 Lok Sabha Election?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Will the U.S. Senate pass the budget by March 31, 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election
Tereza Cristina
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Helder Barbalho
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$471 Vol.
Claude 5 released by…?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$0 Vol.
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